pkm/99-templates/note-veille-emploi-devs.md
Philippe 92946d3203 feat: Add new templates for tech and employment monitoring reports
- Created a new tech and AI monitoring report template for weekly updates.
- Added an employment and developer trends report template to analyze market conditions.
- Updated CLAUDE.md to include new directories for sources and templates.
- Introduced a detailed structure for capturing key signals, OKR alignment, and actionable insights.
2026-05-11 23:34:59 +02:00

234 lines
7 KiB
Markdown
Raw Blame History

This file contains ambiguous Unicode characters

This file contains Unicode characters that might be confused with other characters. If you think that this is intentional, you can safely ignore this warning. Use the Escape button to reveal them.

# Veille Emploi & Devs - YYYY-MM-01
## Synthèse exécutive
Résumer en 812 lignes :
- État du marché emploi dev (hiring ↑/↓, trend salaires)
- Impact AI agents sur rôles devs (juniors vs seniors, skills shift)
- Implication directe pour hiring strategy et team structure
- 12 red flags ou opportunités
- Tone = direct, fact-based, prêt pour Codir
Exemple tonalité :
*"Marché dev reprend (+15% postings), mais entry-level toujours comprimé (45% vs 2023). AI-savvy devs gagnent +$25K premium. Turnover seniors en risk si pas upskill agent orchestration. Opportunité : reskill existing juniors (cheaper than hiring external). Red flag : bootcamp graduates hitting wall, pipeline fragile."*
---
## Top 5 des Signaux Forts
| Sujet | Importance | Data clé | Implication hiring / org | Action recommandée |
|---|---:|---|---|---|
| | Fort / Moyen / Faible | | Hiring bar? Team struct? Comp? | |
---
## Impact par Rôle
### Développeurs Juniors
**Market trend :**
**Salaire :**
**Skills critiques :**
**Sentiment / Attrition :**
**Hiring outlook :**
**Action recommandée :**
---
### Développeurs Mid-Level
**Market trend :**
**Salaire :**
**Skills critiques :**
**Sentiment / Attrition :**
**Hiring outlook :**
**Action recommandée :**
---
### Développeurs Seniors / Tech Leads
**Market trend :**
**Salaire :**
**Skills critiques :**
**Sentiment / Attrition :**
**Hiring outlook :**
**Action recommandée :**
---
### Chefs de Projets / Product Managers
**Market trend :**
**Impact :**
**Skills demanded :**
**Action recommandée :**
---
## Marché Emploi : Données Quantifiées
### Job Postings & Hiring Trends
| Métrique | Trend | Data source |
|---|---|---|
| Job postings dev (total) | | ZipRecruiter / Indeed |
| Entry-level postings | | ZipRecruiter |
| Senior/lead postings | | LinkedIn |
| Hiring pace | | Blind, company reports |
---
### Salaires & Compensation
| Profil | Salaire USD | Premium AI | Trend | Source |
|---|---:|---:|---|---|
| Entry-level (non-AI) | | | | Levels.fyi |
| Entry-level (AI-aware) | | | | Levels.fyi |
| Mid-level (architecture) | | | | Levels.fyi |
| Senior (agent orchestration) | | | | Levels.fyi |
---
### Skills In-Demand & Trending
| Skill | Trend (↑/↓/→) | Why (AI agent shift?) | Hiring demand |
|---|---|---|---|
| Python | | | Very high |
| Systems design | | | |
| Agent orchestration | | | |
| Cloud architecture | | | |
| Cybersecurity | | | |
| TypeScript / React | | | |
| DevOps / SRE | | | |
---
### Talent Sentiment & Attrition
| Signal | Data | Implication |
|---|---|---|
| Junior morale (Blind, Reddit) | | Attrition risk? Upskill urgency? |
| Senior burnout (agent oversight?) | | Orchestration complexity risk? |
| Bootcamp grad employment | | Pipeline health? |
| Avg tenure senior roles | | Retention risk? |
---
## Implications pour Stratégie Hiring
### Entry-Level Hiring Strategy
**Current state :**
**Challenge :**
**Recommendation :**
*Exemple : "Entry hiring 45% vs 2023. AI agents do routine coding. Juniors must learn agent supervision day 1. Bootcamps not preparing for this. → Recommendation : Build internal bootcamp for junior upskilling on agents, not from market."*
---
### Senior Hiring Strategy
**Current state :**
**Demand :**
**Recommendation :**
---
### Compensation Policy Update
**Current salary bands :**
**Market shift :**
**Recommendation (raise ranges?) :**
---
## Implications pour Structure Équipes
### Current Team Composition (est.)
| Level | Headcount | % Team | Role |
|---|---:|---:|---|
| Junior | 60% | | Routine coding, pair with agents |
| Mid | | | Feature delivery, agent supervision |
| Senior | | | Architecture, tech strategy |
---
### Recommended Composition (Agent Era)
| Level | Headcount | % Team | Role | Rationale |
|---|---:|---:|---|---|
| Junior | 20% | | Agent supervision, code review | Agents do routine; juniors + agents needed for oversight |
| Mid | 50% | | Feature delivery, agent orchestration | Core delivery, multi-step agent management |
| Senior | 30% | | Architecture, agent system design, hiring | Design agent workflows, mentor mids |
---
### Team Structure Evolution Needed
- **Hiring :** Shift from juniors to seniors + mids
- **Onboarding :** New junior path = agent tools first, not "write CRUD"
- **Career ladder :** Senior ≠ coding expert; now architect + agent orchestrator
- **Mentoring :** Seniors teach "how to supervise agents", not "write perfect code"
---
## Red Flags & Opportunities
### Red Flags
| Flag | Evidence | Risk | Mitigation |
|---|---|---|---|
| Junior pipeline evaporating | Entry-level 45% | Can't grow talent internally | Build reskilling track for existing juniors |
| Salary compression | AI-aware +$25K → market inversion | Attrition senior? or entry tier obsolete? | Model compensation, decide positioning |
| Agent orchestration skill gap | No one in market teaches this | Hiring externals fails | Invest in internal training on agents |
---
### Opportunities
| Opportunity | Why now | Expected benefit | Effort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Reskill existing juniors on agents | Entry market broken, but internal talent exists | Cheaper hiring, culture retention, agent expertise | Moyen (48 weeks training) |
| Acquire senior architect talent | High demand for agent design, talent available | Build moat vs competitors | Fort (recruiting + offer) |
| Invest in internal academy (agents) | No market training exists yet | Become known for agent talent, attract top devs | Fort (6 months build) |
---
## Questions à Creuser
1. **Hiring :** How do you build a junior pipeline when entry-level jobs vanish? Bootcamp? Internal ramp? Retraining?
2. **Compensation :** Do you raise salary bands for AI-aware devs, or accept attrition? What's your talent moat?
3. **Team math :** If agents +3050% productivity, and juniors can't learn coding anymore, what's the optimal team ratio (juniors:mids:seniors)?
4. **Retention :** Which seniors are at risk of leaving for "agent native" startups? How do you keep them?
5. **Culture :** Does "your dev became a supervisor of agents" feel like demotion or promotion to your team?
6. **International :** Is this trend US-only (Levels.fyi, Blind = US-centric) or happening globally?
---
## À Intégrer dans PKM
| Note | Action | Priorité |
|---|---|---|
| 20-areas/pro/management/hiring-strategy-2026 | Créer / enrichir hiring policy pour agent era | ⭐⭐⭐ |
| 20-areas/pro/management/compensation-2026 | Mettre à jour salary bands si market shift est réel | ⭐⭐⭐ |
| 20-areas/pro/management/junior-pipeline | Créer internal ramp vs bootcamp trade-off analysis | ⭐⭐⭐ |
| 20-areas/pro/cto/team-structure-agent-era | Documenter ideal team ratio (junior/mid/senior) | ⭐⭐ |
| 30-resources/management/reskilling-agents | Créer curriculum for internal agent training | ⭐⭐ |
---
## Sources Consultées
| Source | Éditeur | Date | Type |
|---|---|---:|---|
| | | | Salary data / Job trends / Report / Article |
---
## Actions pour le Mois Prochain
- [ ]
- [ ]
- [ ]